ABSTRACT
The pulmonary function test (PFT) is an important test for risk stratification before allogeneic transplantation (allo-HCT). However, it might be preferable to avoid PFT as much as possible in the recent era of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), because PFT requires forced expirations and might produce aerosols, increasing the risk of COVID-19 transmission. Therefore, we tried to predict normal PFT results before allo-HCT based on computed tomography (CT) findings. This study included 390 allo-HCT recipients at our center for whom lung CT images and PFT results before allo-HCT were available. Abnormal CT findings were less likely to be observed in the normal PFT group (47.0% versus 67.4%, P = .015), with a high negative predictive value of 92.9%. In a multivariate analysis, normal CT was significantly associated with normal PFT (odds ratio, 2.47; 95% confidence interval, 1.22 to 4.97; P = .012). A model for predicting normal PFT was constructed based on the results of a multivariate analysis, and the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic analysis was 0.656, which gave a sensitivity of 45.5% and a specificity of 86.0%. The relatively high specificity of the model suggested that PFT can be omitted in patients with normal CT findings before allo-HCT.